Rivian total vehicles delivered this year

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 38000 (97.0%), Above 40000 (94.0%), Above 42000 (92.0%). The market has $79K in volume and closes on Mon, 31 Jan 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 3800097.0%97.0¢3.0¢
Above 4000094.0%94.0¢6.0¢
Above 4200092.0%92.0¢8.0¢
Above 4800091.0%91.0¢9.0¢
Above 4400091.0%91.0¢9.0¢
Above 4600091.0%91.0¢9.0¢
Above 5000088.0%88.0¢12.0¢
Above 5200086.0%86.0¢14.0¢
Above 5400085.0%85.0¢15.0¢
Above 5600084.0%84.0¢16.0¢
Above 5800083.0%83.0¢17.0¢
Above 6000080.0%80.0¢20.0¢
Above 6200076.0%76.0¢24.0¢
Above 6400071.0%71.0¢29.0¢
Above 6600063.0%63.0¢37.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 38000:

If Rivian Automotive Inc. reports Above 38000 total vehicles delivered in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

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