Rivian vehicles delivered next quarter

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 17000 (96.0%), Above 19000 (95.0%), Above 15000 (94.0%). The market has $8K in volume and closes on Fri, 27 Aug 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 1700096.0%96.0¢4.0¢
Above 1900095.0%95.0¢5.0¢
Above 1500094.0%94.0¢6.0¢
Above 2100092.0%92.0¢8.0¢
Above 2300083.0%83.0¢17.0¢
Above 2500071.0%71.0¢29.0¢
Above 2700057.0%57.0¢43.0¢
Above 2900032.0%32.0¢68.0¢
Above 3100025.0%25.0¢75.0¢
Above 3300014.0%14.0¢86.0¢
Above 3500010.0%10.0¢90.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 17000:

If Rivian reports Above 17000 total vehicles delivered in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Sources

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