Rio de Janeiro Governor winner?
As of Mon, 12 Oct 2026 21:53:46 UTC, Kalshi traders price Douglas Ruas (99.0%), Anthony Garotinho (2.0%), Wilson Witzel (1.0%). The market has $27K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Douglas Ruas | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Anthony Garotinho | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Wilson Witzel | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Eduardo Paes | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $27K
- Liquidity: $27K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Douglas Ruas:
If Douglas Ruas wins the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary elections, the party or coalition with the most seats wins. If two parties tie in seats: the one entering government will resolve to YES and all others to NO If both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to YES and all others to NO For coalitions/alliances, only those formally registered with electoral authorities before the nomination deadline count, not post-election governing arrangements Overhang seats, leveling seats, and appointed seats count only if specified For referenda/plebiscites, the specified option achieves the required threshold per applicable law (simple majority, supermajority, dual majority, turnout requirements). If multiple thresholds exist (e.g., majority of votes AND majority of states), all must be met For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office is the winner. The market resolves based on the official certification or declaration by the relevant electoral authority Contested results are resolved based on the final certified outcome by the appropriate electoral authority or highest court with jurisdiction In cases of competing claims (t…
Sources
Related markets
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
- Next French presidential election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.