Quebec National Assembly election winner?

As of Wed, 30 Sep 2026 02:05:39 UTC, Kalshi traders price PQ (99.0%), PLQ (4.0%), PCQ (1.0%). The market has $58K in volume and closes on Mon, 12 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
PQ99.0%99.0¢1.0¢
PLQ4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
PCQ1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
CAQ1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
QS1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for PQ:

If the PQ wins the 2026 Quebec National Assembly election, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

Sources

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