PJM Dominion Hub average power price above $25/MWh, Week 44?

As of Sun, 25 Oct 2026 09:28:53 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $25/MWh (52.0%), Above $55/MWh (51.0%), Above $35/MWh (50.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Fri, 30 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above $25/MWh52.0%52.0¢48.0¢
Above $55/MWh51.0%51.0¢49.0¢
Above $35/MWh50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Above $45/MWh50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Above $70/MWh50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Above $100/MWh50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Above $150/MWh50.0%50.0¢50.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $25/MWh:

If the all-hours average real-time power price at PJM Dominion Hub is above $25/MWh for the week ending October 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Period: October 23, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT to October 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. Includes the start; excludes the end. Source: PJM Data Miner 2’s verified hourly real-time total LMPs. Intervals follow their Eastern-time start times; repeated daylight-saving hours count separately. Calculation: Simple average of all applicable hourly prices, including negative prices. Round the average to two decimals, with exact halves away from zero. Equality resolves No. Trading closes: October 30, 2026 at 4:59 PM EDT. The final delivery interval still counts. Price versions: Use first published applicable prices. Later corrections count only if published before expiration and accepted by the Exchange as correcting a material error. Exclude unverified, estimated, indicative and forecast prices. Missing data: Do not fill missing prices. At expiration, average the available prices if at least 95% of required intervals are available. Below 95%, resolve only if the available data establishes the outcome regardless of missing values; otherwise, settle at the Exchange-determined last fair price under the full rules.

Sources

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