Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 08:44:12 UTC, Polymarket traders price June 30, 2027 (56.5%), March 31, 2027 (37.5%), December 31, 2026 (6.4%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Jul 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
June 30, 202756.5%56.5¢43.5¢
March 31, 202737.5%37.5¢62.5¢
December 31, 20266.4%6.4¢93.6¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for June 30, 2027:

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, between market creation and June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources

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