Peak US National Debt before 2027?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 16:15:09 UTC, Polymarket traders price $41 trillion (53.0%), $42 trillion (3.9%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| $41 trillion | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| $42 trillion | 3.9% | 3.9¢ | 96.2¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $11K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Sources
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