PA-11 House election: Lloyd Smucker vote percent
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:33 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 52% (94.0%), At least 54% (84.0%), At least 56% (67.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 52% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 54% | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| At least 56% | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| At least 58% | 47.0% | 47.0¢ | 53.0¢ |
| At least 60% | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| At least 62% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| At least 64% | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| At least 66% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| At least 68% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 52%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Lloyd Smucker in the 2026 PA-11 House election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Lloyd Smucker ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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