Oregon Senate margin of victory

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:24 UTC, Kalshi traders price Merkley, 13+ pts (94.0%), Merkley, 15+ pts (91.0%), Merkley, 17+ pts (86.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Merkley, 13+ pts94.0%94.0¢6.0¢
Merkley, 15+ pts91.0%91.0¢9.0¢
Merkley, 17+ pts86.0%86.0¢14.0¢
Merkley, 19+ pts79.0%79.0¢21.0¢
Merkley, 21+ pts70.0%70.0¢30.0¢
Merkley, 23+ pts61.0%61.0¢39.0¢
Merkley, 25+ pts50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
Merkley, 27+ pts40.0%40.0¢60.0¢
Merkley, 29+ pts29.0%29.0¢71.0¢
Merkley, 31+ pts20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
Merkley, 33+ pts13.0%13.0¢87.0¢

Market details

Sources

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