Northern Nalšia by-election winner?
As of Mon, 02 Nov 2026 00:29:41 UTC, Kalshi traders price Gintautas Kindurys (43.0%), Vladislavas Kondratovičius (15.0%), Dalia Štraupaitė (8.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Tue, 22 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gintautas Kindurys | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| Vladislavas Kondratovičius | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Dalia Štraupaitė | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Ignotas Adomavičius | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Antanas Šakalys | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Giedrius Dainys | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Mėta Paulauskė | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Andrejus Šildiajevas | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Viktoras Voroninas | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Maksimas Paukštė | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Nikolajus Lebedevičius | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Gintautas Kindurys:
If Gintautas Kindurys wins the 2026 Northern Nalšia Seimas by-election, then the market resolves to Yes. The winner is the candidate the Central Electoral Commission of Lithuania declares elected after any runoff. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
Sources
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