Next UK Defence Secretary in 2026?
As of Mon, 20 Jul 2026 23:35:05 UTC, Polymarket traders price Heidi Alexander (0.4%), Luke Pollard (0.3%), Pat McFadden (0.1%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heidi Alexander | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ |
| Luke Pollard | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.8¢ |
| Pat McFadden | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
| Douglas Alexander | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $45K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to the individual who is officially appointed as the next Defence Secretary of the United Kingdom by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Defence Secretary will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Defence Secretary is appointed, or Dan Jarvis is re-appointed as Defence Secretary, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No next Defence Secretary in 2026”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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