Next Israeli government formed by...?
As of Tue, 27 Oct 2026 19:03:09 UTC, Polymarket traders price June 30, 2027 (81.5%), December 31, 2026 (65.5%), February 28, 2027 (64.5%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Jul 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 81.5% | 81.5¢ | 18.5¢ |
| December 31, 2026 | 65.5% | 65.5¢ | 34.5¢ |
| February 28, 2027 | 64.5% | 64.5¢ | 35.5¢ |
| November 30, 2026 | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $42K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe. Only a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequent election will qualify. Caretaker or transitional governments, including the outgoing government continuing to serve in a caretaker capacity, will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel or the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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