Israeli Legislative Election Winner
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:48:12 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yashar (72.5%), Likud (27.0%), Together (1.4%). The market has $234K in volume and closes on Wed, 28 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yashar | 72.5% | 72.5¢ | 27.5¢ |
| Likud | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| Together | 1.4% | 1.4¢ | 98.7¢ |
| The Democrats | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Shas | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| Otzma Yehudit | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Prices on other venues
| Outcome | Venue | Chance | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|
| Likud | Kalshi | 30.0% | |
| Together | Kalshi | 3.0% |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $234K
- Liquidity: $680K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page). The following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties: - If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent th…
Sources
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