Next Prime Minister of Romania?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 09:34:33 UTC, Polymarket traders price Luca Niculescu (91.0%), Ilie Bolojan (0.4%), Alexandru Nazare (0.4%). The market has $2.6M in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.

Updated: Tue, 20 Oct 2026 09:34:33 UTC

Current odds

Outcome	Chance	Yes price	No price
Luca Niculescu	91.0%	91.0¢	9.0¢
Ilie Bolojan	0.4%	0.4¢	99.6¢
Alexandru Nazare	0.4%	0.4¢	99.6¢
Siegfried Mureșan	0.4%	0.4¢	99.6¢
Sorin Grindeanu	0.4%	0.4¢	99.7¢
George Simion	0.3%	0.3¢	99.8¢
Eugen Tomac	0.2%	0.2¢	99.8¢
Traian Basescu	0.1%	0.1¢	99.9¢
Victor Ponta	0.1%	0.1¢	99.9¢
Leonardo Badea	0.1%	0.1¢	99.9¢
Lucian Croitoru	0.1%	0.1¢	99.9¢
Dragoș Pîslaru	0.1%	0.1¢	99.9¢
Mircea Geoană	0.1%	0.1¢	100.0¢
Cătălin Predoiu	0.1%	0.1¢	100.0¢
Marcel Ciolacu	0.1%	0.1¢	100.0¢

Market details

Venue: Polymarket
Volume: $2.6M
Liquidity: $1.1M
Closes: Thu, 31 Dec 2026

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources

Source: Polymarket market

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.