New Mexico Senate election: Larry Marker vote percent

As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 15:06:55 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 32% (97.0%), At least 34% (96.0%), At least 36% (61.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 32%97.0%97.0¢3.0¢
At least 34%96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
At least 36%61.0%61.0¢39.0¢
At least 38%31.0%31.0¢69.0¢
At least 40%9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
At least 42%9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
At least 44%2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
At least 46%2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
At least 48%2.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 32%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Larry Marker in the 2026 New Mexico Senate election is 32% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Larry Marker ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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