NC-03 House election: Raymond Smith Jr. vote percent

As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 15:23:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 52% (58.0%), At least 54% (15.0%), At least 40% (14.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 52%58.0%58.0¢42.0¢
At least 54%15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
At least 40%14.0%14.0¢86.0¢
At least 42%14.0%14.0¢86.0¢
At least 38%14.0%14.0¢86.0¢
At least 36%14.0%14.0¢86.0¢
At least 48%13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
At least 46%13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
At least 44%13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
At least 50%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 52%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Raymond Smith Jr. in the 2026 NC-03 House election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Raymond Smith Jr. ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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