NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?
As of Tue, 27 Oct 2026 22:46:13 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (38.5%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Jul 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.5% | 38.5¢ | 61.5¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $20K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a NATO military downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If neither a NATO military downing a Russian drone nor Russia x Ukraine peace talks occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a NATO military downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place before a NATO military downs another Russian drone, this market will resolve to “No”. A NATO military will be considered to have downed another Russian drone if a NATO member’s military downs a Russian drone by any means (kinetic, jammer, etc.) after market creation. A “Russian drone” refers to any drone that, based on a consensus of credible reporting, was launched from territory under Russia’s de facto control or was operated or directed by Russian forces. Where attribution remains ambiguous, the drone’s model and characteristics will be considered supporting evidence. The occurrence, attribution, and timing of a qualifying incident will be primarily determined based on a consensus of information available from the resolution sources. Where multiple sources conflict regarding the occurrence, attribution, or timing of a relevant incident, this market will remain open until the earlier of: i) the confirmation of the occurrence, attribution, and timing of the incident based on…
Sources
Related markets
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Iran leader end of 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
- US strike on Mexico by...?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.