Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
As of Mon, 31 Aug 2026 12:47:13 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (8.9%). The market has $15K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 8.9% | 8.9¢ | 91.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $15K
- Liquidity: $14K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Naim Qassem ceases to be Hezbollah’s secretary-general for any length of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Naim Qassem will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Hezbollah’s secretary-general within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources
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