MO-08 House election: Jason Smith vote percent

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:29 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 64% (96.0%), At least 66% (93.0%), At least 68% (81.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 64%96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
At least 66%93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
At least 68%81.0%81.0¢19.0¢
At least 70%63.0%63.0¢37.0¢
At least 72%40.0%40.0¢60.0¢
At least 74%20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
At least 78%7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
At least 76%7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
At least 82%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
At least 80%4.0%4.0¢96.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 64%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jason Smith in the 2026 MO-08 House election is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Jason Smith ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.