Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election: SPD vote share?
As of Mon, 21 Sep 2026 23:01:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 25% (100.0%), At least 27% (100.0%), At least 31% (98.0%). The market has $22K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 25% | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| At least 27% | 100.0% | 100.0¢ | 0.0¢ |
| At least 31% | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| At least 29% | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| At least 33% | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| At least 35% | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $22K
- Liquidity: $22K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 25%:
If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by SPD in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary election is 25% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is (second votes received by the party ÷ total valid second votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator. Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions, use certified/official results; unofficial results or media declarations may be used only as those provisions allow. If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no results (certified or unofficial as reported by the Source Agencies) are available by expiration, resolve No, subject to those provisions. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.
Sources
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