Marseille public gathering ban effectively lifted by...?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 17:04:23 UTC, Polymarket traders price October 31 (99.0%), October 24 (95.9%), October 21 (64.0%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Sat, 31 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
October 3199.0%99.0¢1.0¢
October 2495.9%95.9¢4.2¢
October 2164.0%64.0¢36.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any full calendar day between the day of market creation and the specified date, inclusive (Marseille time), passes without any ban on public gatherings in effect in any part of the City of Marseille, France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A calendar day passes without any ban on public gatherings in effect if, at no point between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM Marseille time on that day, a ban on public gatherings is in effect in any part of the City of Marseille. The City of Marseille refers to the municipality (commune) of Marseille, within its official municipal boundaries. A ban on public gatherings refers to a governmental order which generally prohibits gatherings or demonstrations in public spaces in the City of Marseille, or a defined area of it, during a specific timeframe or specific hours. A ban of any scope will count, whether citywide or limited to specific arrondissements, districts, or neighborhoods of the City of Marseille, and must be officially declared by the City of Marseille, the Bouches-du-Rhône Police Prefecture (Préfecture de police des Bouches-du-Rhône), or a French national authority. A broader ban (e.g. department-wide or nationwide) will count so long as it applies to at least part of the City of Marseille. Orders that prohibit or restrict only one or more specific, identified demonstrations, marches, or events (rather than gatherings or demonstrations generally) will not be considered bans on public…

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