Latvia parliamentary election winner?
As of Fri, 02 Oct 2026 08:23:05 UTC, Kalshi traders price United List (95.0%), Sovereign Power (3.0%), Latvia First (3.0%). The market has $23K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| United List | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| Sovereign Power | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Latvia First | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| For Stability! | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Union of Greens and Farmers | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| New Unity | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| National Alliance | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| The Progressives | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Social Democratic Party "Harmony" | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $23K
- Liquidity: $23K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for United List:
If United List wins the 2026 Latvia parliamentary elections, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Sources
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