Kimberly Guilfoyle out as US Ambassador to Greece?

As of Wed, 14 Oct 2026 13:04:06 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Dec 1, 2026 (100.0%), Before Nov 1, 2026 (100.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (97.0%). The market has $93K in volume and closes on Fri, 08 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Before Dec 1, 2026100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
Before Nov 1, 2026100.0%100.0¢0.0¢
Before Jan 1, 202797.0%97.0¢3.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Dec 1, 2026:

If Kimberly Guilfoyle leaves as US Ambassador to Greece before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kimberly Guilfoyle must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure and the natural expiration of a term. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.

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