India Nominal GDP in 2026
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above $4.0 trillion (74.0%), Above $3.9 trillion (50.0%), Above $4.2 trillion (28.0%). The market has $11K in volume and closes on Thu, 31 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above $4.0 trillion | 74.0% | 74.0¢ | 26.0¢ |
| Above $3.9 trillion | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| Above $4.2 trillion | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| Above $4.4 trillion | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| above $5.6 trillion | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| above $5.8 trillion | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| above $4.8 trillion | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| above $5.0 trillion | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| above $5.2 trillion | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| above $4.6 trillion | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| above $5.4 trillion | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $11K
- Liquidity: $11K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above $4.0 trillion:
If India Nominal GDP is above $4.0 trillion for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. 9/25/26 clarification: This market resolves using the World Bank’s first non-preliminary release of India Nominal GDP for calendar year 2026, expressed in current US dollars. Trading Economics is a backup source for the same figure. Forecasts and subsequent revisions are excluded; no separate currency conversion is performed.
Sources
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