IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
As of Thu, 06 Aug 2026 12:30:47 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31 (15.0%), October 31 (1.7%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| October 31 | 1.7% | 1.7¢ | 98.4¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $31K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources
Related markets
- Iran leader end of 2026?
- How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.