How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:40:55 UTC, Polymarket traders price <14 (89.6%), 15 (30.5%), 14 (29.3%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
<1489.6%89.6¢10.4¢
1530.5%30.5¢69.5¢
1429.3%29.3¢70.8¢
1628.1%28.1¢71.9¢
17+1.5%1.5¢98.5¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches. In the case of missing or erroneous data from spacex.com, this market will remain open until November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, to allow for updates. If spacex.com has not updated by November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.

Sources

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