How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/25-10/31)
As of Mon, 26 Oct 2026 09:27:21 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 2 (88.0%), At least 3 (75.0%), At least 4 (66.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 2 | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| At least 3 | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| At least 4 | 66.0% | 66.0¢ | 34.0¢ |
| At least 5 | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| At least 6 | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| At least 7 | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| At least 8 | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| At least 9 | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| At least 10 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| At least 12 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 2:
If Donald Trump has taken at least 2 presidential actions from Oct 25, 2026 through Oct 31, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 1, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market solely resolves to the publication dates visibly displayed on the "Presidential Actions" tab at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 1, 2026. The week runs from Oct 25, 2026 through Oct 31, 2026. Payout criteria The actions may include proclamations, executive orders, nominations & appointments, and memoranda. Any item listed on the page counts, regardless of its legal effect. Examples (for Jan 10, 2026): Executive Order with a Jan 7 signing date is released with a Jan 10 publication date → resolves Yes Proclamation e-mailed to White House Press Pool but not uploaded by 10:00 AM next day → resolves No Proclamation is released Jan 10 with a backdated Jan 9 publication date → resolves No Bill signed into law and shows up on "Briefings & Statements" instead of "Presidential Actions" → resolves No
Sources
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