How many House seats will Democrats win in New York?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:34:31 UTC, Kalshi traders price E20 (38.0%), E19 (32.0%), E21 (14.0%). The market has $36K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| E20 | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| E19 | 32.0% | 32.0¢ | 68.0¢ |
| E21 | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| E18 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| E22 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| E23 | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| E17 | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 23 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| E16 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Below 16 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $36K
- Liquidity: $36K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for E20:
If Democrats win 20 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in New York, then the market resolves to Yes. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner of every seat. See full rules for details. Where a candidate appears on more than one ballot line, all of their lines are aggregated into that candidate's own total.
Sources
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