How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 06:41:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price Below 193 (31.0%), 198-202 (18.0%), 203-207 (16.0%). The market has $4.4M in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below 193 | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| 198-202 | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| 203-207 | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| 193-197 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| 208-212 | 8.9% | 8.9¢ | 91.1¢ |
| 213-217 | 6.7% | 6.7¢ | 93.3¢ |
| 218-222 | 5.2% | 5.2¢ | 94.8¢ |
| 223-227 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 237 | 1.7% | 1.7¢ | 98.3¢ |
| 233-237 | 1.6% | 1.6¢ | 98.4¢ |
| 228-232 | 1.6% | 1.6¢ | 98.4¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4.4M
- Liquidity: $4.4M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Below 193:
If the Republican Party has below 193 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included
Sources
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