How many bills will Trump veto before 2028?
As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 14:24:12 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 2 (90.0%), At least 4 (82.0%), At least 6 (73.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 2 | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| At least 4 | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| At least 6 | 73.0% | 73.0¢ | 27.0¢ |
| At least 8 | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| At least 10 | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| At least 12 | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| At least 15 | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| At least 20 | 38.0% | 38.0¢ | 62.0¢ |
| At least 25 | 27.0% | 27.0¢ | 73.0¢ |
| At least 30 | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 2:
If President Trump vetoes at least 2 bills or resolutions sent by Congress before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. A “pocket veto” is encompassed within the Payout Criterion.
Sources
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