How low will gas prices in New York get this year?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Below $2.60 (4.0%), Below $2.80 (4.0%), Below $2.90 (3.0%). The market has $21K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Below $2.604.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Below $2.804.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Below $2.903.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Below $2.703.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Below $2.503.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Below $2.60:

If average regular gas prices for New York are strictly lower than $2.60 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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