Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent
As of Thu, 08 Oct 2026 08:12:25 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 20% (97.0%), At least 35% (84.0%), At least 30% (77.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Mon, 01 Mar 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 20% | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least 35% | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| At least 30% | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| At least 40% | 71.0% | 71.0¢ | 29.0¢ |
| At least 45% | 40.0% | 40.0¢ | 60.0¢ |
| At least 50% | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| At least 55% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| At least 65% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 20%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Labour Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is 20% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is (votes received by the party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded. Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, use certified/official results; qualifying unofficial results may be used only under that provision. Write-in votes in the result are included. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator. If multiple rounds occur, use the specified round or first round if none is specified. If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no certified or qualifying unofficial results are available by the Expiration Date, resolve NO, except as provided in Fully-Conducted Elections. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.
Sources
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