Generic congressional ballot on Oct 6, 2026?
As of Tue, 06 Oct 2026 21:07:31 UTC, Kalshi traders price 8.7% (99.0%), 8.6% (68.0%), 8.5% (4.0%). The market has $13K in volume and closes on Tue, 06 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8.7% | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 8.6% | 68.0% | 68.0¢ | 32.0¢ |
| 8.5% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Below 8.5% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 9.1% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 8.9% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 9.0% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Above 9.1% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 8.8% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $13K
- Liquidity: $13K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 8.7%:
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.7% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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