Generic congressional ballot on Oct 26, 2026?

As of Mon, 26 Oct 2026 17:49:15 UTC, Kalshi traders price 8.4% (68.0%), 8.3% (9.0%), 8.5% (8.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Mon, 26 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
8.4%68.0%68.0¢32.0¢
8.3%9.0%9.0¢91.0¢
8.5%8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
8.6%7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
8.2%2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Above 8.7%2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Below 8.1%2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
8.1%2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
8.7%2.0%2.0¢98.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 8.4%:

If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.4% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

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