Generic congressional ballot on Oct 22, 2026?

As of Thu, 22 Oct 2026 18:52:18 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 8.3% (90.0%), 7.8% (2.0%), 7.9% (2.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 22 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 8.3%90.0%90.0¢10.0¢
7.8%2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
7.9%2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
8.0%2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
8.1%2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
8.2%2.0%2.0¢98.0¢
7.7%1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
8.3%1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
Below 7.7%1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 8.3%:

If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 8.3% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Sources

Related markets

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