Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:37:32 UTC, Polymarket traders price 220-239 (24.3%), 240-259 (23.0%), 200-219 (14.8%). The market has $300K in volume and closes on Fri, 23 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 220-239 | 24.3% | 24.3¢ | 75.8¢ |
| 240-259 | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| 200-219 | 14.8% | 14.8¢ | 85.3¢ |
| 260-279 | 14.5% | 14.5¢ | 85.5¢ |
| 280-299 | 10.5% | 10.5¢ | 89.5¢ |
| 300-319 | 4.8% | 4.8¢ | 95.3¢ |
| 180-199 | 4.1% | 4.1¢ | 95.9¢ |
| 320-339 | 3.3% | 3.3¢ | 96.8¢ |
| 340-359 | 1.9% | 1.9¢ | 98.1¢ |
| 360-379 | 0.9% | 0.9¢ | 99.1¢ |
| 160-179 | 0.9% | 0.9¢ | 99.1¢ |
| 380-399 | 0.5% | 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ |
| 400-419 | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ |
| 420-439 | 0.3% | 0.3¢ | 99.7¢ |
| 440-459 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 99.9¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $300K
- Liquidity: $216K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources
Related markets
- Richest person on December 31, 2026?
- Satoshi's identity be proven by...?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Next French Presidential Election
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.