Generic congressional ballot on Oct 10, 2026?
As of Fri, 09 Oct 2026 17:26:11 UTC, Kalshi traders price 8.7% (43.0%), 8.6% (24.0%), 8.8% (21.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sat, 10 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8.7% | 43.0% | 43.0¢ | 57.0¢ |
| 8.6% | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| 8.8% | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Above 9.0% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 8.4% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 8.5% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Below 8.4% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 8.9% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 9.0% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 8.7%:
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.7% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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