Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:18:50 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (2.1%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes2.1%2.1¢97.9¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by October 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sources

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