Elon Musk # tweets October 31 - November 2, 2026?
As of Sat, 31 Oct 2026 23:22:31 UTC, Polymarket traders price 115-139 (29.5%), 90-114 (29.5%), 140-164 (19.2%). The market has $149K in volume and closes on Mon, 02 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 115-139 | 29.5% | 29.5¢ | 70.5¢ |
| 90-114 | 29.5% | 29.5¢ | 70.5¢ |
| 140-164 | 19.2% | 19.2¢ | 80.8¢ |
| 165-189 | 11.3% | 11.3¢ | 88.8¢ |
| 65-89 | 7.5% | 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ |
| 190-214 | 2.7% | 2.7¢ | 97.3¢ |
| 215-239 | 0.8% | 0.8¢ | 99.2¢ |
| 240+ | 0.7% | 0.7¢ | 99.3¢ |
| 40-64 | 0.5% | 0.5¢ | 99.5¢ |
| <40 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $149K
- Liquidity: $53K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 31 12:00 PM ET to November 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources
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