Elon Musk # tweets October 29 - October 31, 2026?

As of Tue, 27 Oct 2026 00:40:59 UTC, Polymarket traders price 65-89 (38.5%), 40-64 (23.5%), 90-114 (22.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Sat, 31 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
65-8938.5%38.5¢61.5¢
40-6423.5%23.5¢76.5¢
90-11422.0%22.0¢78.0¢
115-13911.5%11.5¢88.5¢
<404.1%4.1¢95.9¢
140-1641.7%1.7¢98.4¢
165-1891.0%1.0¢99.0¢
215-2390.5%0.5¢99.5¢
190-2140.5%0.5¢99.5¢
240+0.5%0.5¢99.5¢

Market details

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 29 12:00 PM ET to October 31, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Sources

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