Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 13:55:03 UTC, Polymarket traders price 260-279 (15.5%), 240-259 (14.5%), 220-239 (11.5%). The market has $25K in volume and closes on Fri, 30 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 260-279 | 15.5% | 15.5¢ | 84.5¢ |
| 240-259 | 14.5% | 14.5¢ | 85.5¢ |
| 220-239 | 11.5% | 11.5¢ | 88.5¢ |
| 280-299 | 11.5% | 11.5¢ | 88.5¢ |
| 340-359 | 9.9% | 9.9¢ | 90.1¢ |
| 320-339 | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| 200-219 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| 300-319 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| 400-419 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| 460-479 | 7.5% | 7.5¢ | 92.5¢ |
| 180-199 | 6.3% | 6.3¢ | 93.8¢ |
| 480-499 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 160-179 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 360-379 | 4.8% | 4.8¢ | 95.3¢ |
| 380-399 | 4.2% | 4.2¢ | 95.8¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $25K
- Liquidity: $168K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 23 12:00 PM ET to October 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources
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