Elon Musk # tweets October 19 - October 21, 2026?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:37:16 UTC, Polymarket traders price 40-64 (54.5%), 65-89 (31.5%), 90-114 (6.5%). The market has $83K in volume and closes on Wed, 21 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40-64 | 54.5% | 54.5¢ | 45.5¢ |
| 65-89 | 31.5% | 31.5¢ | 68.5¢ |
| 90-114 | 6.5% | 6.5¢ | 93.5¢ |
| <40 | 5.3% | 5.3¢ | 94.7¢ |
| 115-139 | 0.9% | 0.9¢ | 99.1¢ |
| 140-164 | 0.4% | 0.4¢ | 99.7¢ |
| 165-189 | 0.2% | 0.2¢ | 99.8¢ |
| 215-239 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| 240+ | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
| 190-214 | 0.1% | 0.1¢ | 100.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $83K
- Liquidity: $62K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 19 12:00 PM ET to October 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Sources
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