Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?
As of Thu, 17 Sep 2026 16:44:17 UTC, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 (30.5%), June 30, 2027 (18.5%), December 31, 2026 (3.6%). The market has $6K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 30.5% | 30.5¢ | 69.5¢ |
| June 30, 2027 | 18.5% | 18.5¢ | 81.5¢ |
| December 31, 2026 | 3.6% | 3.6¢ | 96.4¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $6K
- Liquidity: $48K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Canada and the European Union sign or formally adopt a written diplomatic instrument that establishes an associate membership or equivalent status for Canada in relation to the European Union by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". An instrument establishes an associate membership or equivalent status if it is described in its own text as establishing associate membership, associate member status, or an equivalent formulation. Proposals, invitations, statements of intent, negotiations, or action by only one side do not qualify. Existing or sector-specific trade, defence, research, or mobility arrangements alone do not qualify. Unless the written instrument is formally adopted without signature as described below, the instrument must be signed by both Canada and the European Union (either as an institution or as a composite of its member states). Both parties must either sign the same document or sign individual documents that substantively and directly indicate acceptance of the same underlying instrument, regardless of minor formatting, wording, or translation differences between the signed versions. Both physical signatures and officially-issued electronic signatures will qualify as signatures. If the written instrument is recognized by Canada and the European Union as not requiring signature for execution, formal adoption of the instrument by both parties without signature will qualify. Formal adopti…
Sources
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