CA-03 House election: Ami Bera vote percent
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:14 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 54% (95.0%), At least 50% (94.0%), At least 52% (93.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 54% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| At least 50% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 52% | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| At least 56% | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| At least 58% | 77.0% | 77.0¢ | 23.0¢ |
| At least 60% | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| At least 62% | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| At least 64% | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| At least 66% | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 54%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ami Bera in the 2026 CA-03 House election is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Ami Bera ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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