CA-01 House election: James Gallagher vote percent
As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 14:24:21 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 50% (92.0%), At least 42% (5.0%), At least 38% (5.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 50% | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| At least 42% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| At least 38% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| At least 40% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| At least 46% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| At least 44% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| At least 34% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| At least 36% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| At least 48% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 50%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Gallagher in the 2026 CA-01 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by James Gallagher ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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