Arkansas 02 House General Election: voter turnout

As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 14:24:23 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 350K (92.0%), Above 220K (89.0%), Above 240K (76.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 350K92.0%92.0¢8.0¢
Above 220K89.0%89.0¢11.0¢
Above 240K76.0%76.0¢24.0¢
Above 270K48.0%48.0¢52.0¢
Above 260K48.0%48.0¢52.0¢
Above 280K41.0%41.0¢59.0¢
Above 290K32.0%32.0¢68.0¢
Above 300K24.0%24.0¢76.0¢
Above 310K20.0%20.0¢80.0¢
Above 320K15.0%15.0¢85.0¢
Above 330K11.0%11.0¢89.0¢
Above 340K8.0%8.0¢92.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 350K:

If the total vote count for all participants in Arkansas 02 House General Election is above 350000, then the market resolves to Yes. The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Sources

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