António Guterres out by December 31?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 18:46:12 UTC, Polymarket traders price Yes (23.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Polymarket
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $831
- Closes:
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources
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