When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?

As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 09:05:03 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jul 1, 2027 (23.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (9.0%), Before Nov 1, 2026 (5.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Fri, 01 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Before Jul 1, 202723.0%23.0¢77.0¢
Before Jan 1, 20279.0%9.0¢91.0¢
Before Nov 1, 20265.0%5.0¢95.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jul 1, 2027:

If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An announcement that the official will leave the office within the next year also resolves the market to Yes.

Sources

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