Spanish general election: PSOE vote percent
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 19:21:08 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 21% (95.0%), At least 24% (94.0%), At least 23% (93.0%). The market has $14K in volume and closes on Tue, 15 Dec 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 21% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| At least 24% | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| At least 23% | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| At least 25% | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| At least 26% | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| At least 27% | 50.0% | 50.0¢ | 50.0¢ |
| At least 28% | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
| At least 29% | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| At least 30% | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| At least 31% | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $14K
- Liquidity: $14K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 21%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by PSOE in the 2026 Spanish general election is 21% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is the share of the vote received by PSOE in the election to the Congress of Deputies. It is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places (2). Resolution uses the official results published by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior as proclaimed by the Junta Electoral Central, NOT the provisional count on election night Only the election to the Congress of Deputies counts. Votes cast in the Senate election held the same day do NOT count Invalid ballots are excluded from the denominator. Blank ballots are valid votes under Spanish electoral law and are included in the denominator, as in the official percentages Votes for PSOE include votes for the Socialists' Party of Catalonia (PSC-PSOE) and any other list the Ministry of the Interior aggregates under PSOE in its national results
Sources
Related markets
- Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
- Next French presidential election winner?
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
- Taipei mayoral election winner?
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.