WI-06 House election: Brad Smith vote percent

As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 11:25:42 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 34% (98.0%), At least 36% (98.0%), At least 38% (93.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 34%98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
At least 36%98.0%98.0¢2.0¢
At least 38%93.0%93.0¢7.0¢
At least 40%85.0%85.0¢15.0¢
At least 42%77.0%77.0¢23.0¢
At least 44%32.0%32.0¢68.0¢
At least 46%18.0%18.0¢82.0¢
At least 48%11.0%11.0¢89.0¢
At least 50%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 34%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Brad Smith in the 2026 WI-06 House election is 34% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Brad Smith ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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